WEEK 5 PREDICTIONS

Here are the predictions after week 5:

1. ST. XAVIER	(10-0)	43.8500
2. CENTERVILLE	(10-0)	34.9000
3. NORTHMONT	(9-1)	30.2000
4. COLERAIN	(9-1)	28.5232
5. LASALLE	(8-2)	26.0000
6. MOELLER	(6-4)	25.5000
7. FAIRFIELD	(8-2)	24.7000
8. GLEN ESTE	(9-1)	24.7000

NEXT UPDATE: MONDAY

I have a biology test Monday morning, and with the Bengals game tomorrow, I'm not going to have time to post any Harbin updates until Monday night at the earliest.

LASALLE CLARIFICATION

At 7-3, LaSalle most likely WILL NOT make the playoffs. Sorry for the confusion.

LASALLE CLARIFICATION

At 7-3, LaSalle most likely WILL NOT make the playoffs. Sorry for the confusion.

ELDER POSITION AT 8-2?

Let's take a look at where Elder would stand in terms of Harbin points if they would finish the season at 8-2:

WAYNE:---------L1 6.0, L2 47.0 (8-2)
OAK HILLS:-----L1 6.0, L2 42.0 (7-3)
LASALLE:-------L1 6.0, L2 33.5 (6-4)
MOELLER:-------L1 6.0, L2 27.5 (6-4)
ST. XAVIER:----L1 6.0, L2 51.0 (9-1)
CHATARD:-------L1 5.0, L2 40.0 (8-2)
BENEDICTINE:---L1 5.0, L2 27.0 (6-4)
WESTERN HILLS:-L1 6.0, L2 0.0 (0-10)

TOTALS: L1 46, L2 268.0 (DIVISOR = 100)
TOTALS: (46/10) + (268.0/10) = 4.6 + 26.8 = 31.40

TOTAL: 31.40 ==> HOME PLAYOFF GAME

ELDER IN AT 6-4?

Let's take a look at where Elder would stand in terms of Harbin points if they would finish the season at 6-4:

WAYNE:---------L1 6.0, L2 47.0 (8-2)
OAK HILLS:-----L1 6.0, L2 42.0 (7-3)
LASALLE:-------L1 6.0, L2 33.5 (6-4)
CHATARD:-------L1 5.0, L2 40.0 (8-2)
BENEDICTINE:---L1 5.0, L2 27.0 (6-4)
WESTERN HILLS:-L1 6.0, L2 0.0 (0-10)

TOTALS: L1 34, L2, 189.5 (DIVISOR = 100)
TOTALS: (34/10) + (189.5/10) = 3.4 + 18.95 = 22.35

TOTAL: 22.35 ==> OUTSIDE LOOKING IN

ELDER IN AT 7-3?

Let's take a look at where Elder would stand in terms of Harbin points if they would finish the season at 7-3:

WAYNE:---------L1 6.0, L2 47.0 (8-2)
OAK HILLS:-----L1 6.0, L2 42.0 (7-3)
LASALLE:-------L1 6.0, L2 33.5 (6-4)
MOELLER:-------L1 6.0, L2 27.5 (6-4)
CHATARD:-------L1 5.0, L2 40.0 (8-2)
BENEDICTINE:---L1 5.0, L2 27.0 (6-4)
WESTERN HILLS:-L1 6.0, L2 0.0 (0-10)

TOTALS: L1 40, L2, 217.0 (DIVISOR = 100)
TOTALS: (40/10) + (217/10) = 4 + 21.7 = 25.7

TOTAL: 25.7 ==> ROAD PLAYOFF GAME

LASALLE IN AT 7-3?

LaSalle will make the playoffs at 7-3 this year if they beat Elder and win their last three games of the season. This is roughly what LaSalle would look like at 7-3.

SYCAMORE:--------L1 6.0, L2 23.5
XENIA:-----------L1 6.0, L2 34.5
LOU. BUTLER:-----L1 6.0, L2 30.0
ELDER:-----------L1 6.0, L2: 28.0
EAST CENTRAL:----L1 5.5, L2 44.0
PURCELL-MARIAN:--L1 4.5, L2 9.5
WOODWARD:--------L1 5.5, L2 0

TOTALS: L1 40, L2 169.5, DIVISOR = 100
TOTAL: (40/10) + (169.5/10) = 4 + 16.95 = 20.95

TOTAL: 20.95

Even at 7-3, LaSalle will have difficulty getting in the playoffs. The last two games against Purcell and Woodward really hurt LaSalle and might keep them out at 7-3. The magic number I have for making the playoffs is 24 Harbin points. Since the playoffs expanded to 8 teams per region, 24 points in Region 4 has made the playoffs every time.