WHERE THEY'LL FINISH

ST. XAVIER:
10-0: 1 seed
9-1: 1 seed
8-2: 1-2 seed (1 seed if Wayne beats Centerville)

CENTERVILLE:
10-0: 2 seed
9-1: 2-3 seed

NORTHMONT:
9-1: 3 seed
8-2: 6-8 seed

GLEN ESTE:
9-1: 3-5 seed
8-2: No playoffs

COLERAIN:
9-1: 4-6 seed

LAKOTA EAST:
*8-2: 4-6 seed
*7-3: No playoffs

MOELLER:
8-2: 3 seed
7-3: 3-4 seed
6-4: 7-10 seed

LASALLE:
8-2: 7-10 seed

MASON:
8-2: 7-10 seed

FAIRFIELD:
8-2: 10-11 seed

WAYNE:
9-1: 2 seed
8-2: 6-7 seed
7-3: No playoffs

TOO CLOSE TO CALL

With Glen Este, Colerain, and Lakota East being so close to each other in projected Harbin points, it is still too early to call this race, as it would take only one missed game on my part to change each of these teams seeds. The same thing goes for Wayne, Moeller, LaSalle, and Mason. Hopefully after week 8, we'll have a good idea of where each team will stand.

5 MOST IMPORTANT GAMES FOR WEEK 8

1. Glen Este vs. Winton Woods: If Glen Este wins, they are in the playoffs, fighting with Colerain AND Lakota East for the #4 seed in Region 4. If Glen Este loses, they are out of playoff contention.

2. Centerville @ Wayne: Wayne must win against Centerville or Northmont to make the playoffs. If they lose both games, they are out, if they win one of the games, they are on the road in week 11, and if they win both, they will have a home playoff game. If Centerville wins this game, they will be the #2 seed in Region 4 for back-to-back seasons.

3. Moeller @ Columbus St. Francis DeSales: Moeller must win one of its last three games to give it a chance to make the playoffs. At 6-4, Moeller would be fighting with LaSalle and Mason for the last playoff spot. With games at Lakewood St. Edward and against St. Xavier at Paul Brown Stadium, this is a must-win for Moeller. DeSales almost upset Moeller at Lockland last year, and Moeller surely will have their hands full in Columbus this Friday.

4. East Central @ LaSalle: LaSalle must win this game to keep their playoff hopes alive. LaSalle has had a good history against East Central, and a win Friday night would supply LaSalle with a boatload of Harbin points.

5. St. Francis (NY) @ St. Xavier: A St. Xavier win and a Centerville loss would clinch the #1 seed for St. Xavier for the second consecutive year. If Centerville loses to Wayne, St. Xavier would be the #1 seed with an 8-2 record. That's what a good schedule can do for a team.

"UNDER THE RADAR" GAMES NEXT WEEK

1. Lakota West vs. Princeton: A Princeton upset could really shake things up in the Harbin races. It would bring about a 1.2 point swing in favor of Fairfield over Mason, and really hurt Mason's chances of catching LaSalle or Moeller. It would also increase Colerain's lead over Glen Este by .6 points.

2. Elder vs. Indianapolis Bishop Chatard: An Elder loss could drop LaSalle/Moeller below Mason for the #8 seed in the playoffs. An Elder win could go a long way in getting their GCL rival(s) into the playoffs.

3. Robert E. Lee (Texas) vs. North Mesquite (Texas): A Lee loss could be the difference in a Colerain home game or road game in the first round of the playoffs.

4. Woodward vs. Aiken: LaSalle received a pleasant surprise Friday night when they learned that Woodward defeated Jefferson Township (2-5) 14-12. If Woodward wins this week against Aiken (1-6) or next week against Shroeder Padeia (Div 5, 3-3), LaSalle's playoff chances will skyrocket.

5. Simon Kenton vs. Ryle: A Ryle win and a Glen Este win will put Glen Este ahead of Colerain in the projections and have Glen Este hosting a first round playoff game.

CENTERVILLE, NORTHMONT, & WAYNE

Here's my attempt to solve the Dayton Harbin puzzle:

Scenario 1: Centerville over Wayne, Northmont over Wayne
Centerville 2 seed, Northmont 3 seed, Wayne out of playoffs

Scenario 2: Centerville over Wayne, Wayne over Northmont
Centerville 2 seed, Northmont 6-8 seed, Wayne 5-7 seed

Scenario 3: Wayne over Centerville, Northmont over Wayne
Centerville 2 seed, Northmont 3 seed, Wayne 4-6 seed

Scenario 4: Wayne over Centerville, Wayne over Northmont
Centerville 3 seed, Northmont 6-8 seed, Wayne 2 seed

ST. XAVIER

Congratulations to Steve Specht and the St. Xavier Bombers! Their win over LaSalle has guaranteed St. Xavier a home playoff game in the first round of the playoffs. Even if St. Xavier ends the year 0-3 (which they won't), they'd have over a projected 31 Harbin points, which would be more than enough to host a first round playoff game. At 9-1 or 10-0, St. Xavier will be the #1 seed in Region 4.

GLEN ESTE & COLERAIN

Despite losing to Mason Friday night, Glen Este still has a chance at a home playoff game. My projections have Glen Este finishing 5th, behind Colerain, with 26.9000 points. If I predict one game incorrectly for either Colerain or Glen Este in Glen Este's favor, Colerain will be the #5 seed, and Glen Este will move up to #4. This is possible because I have Tyler Lee, Texas winning their last three games, and after their performance on Fox Sports Net Thursday night, they might not win all those games, which could cost Colerain a home game. Once again, it's way too early to project specific seeds, as there are 3 weeks remaining.

If Glen Este wins out: 4-6 seed
If Colerain wins out: 4-6 seed

MOELLER, LASALLE, WAYNE, & MASON

These 4 teams are competing for the final 2 playoff spots, and with 3 weeks to play and with Moeller, LaSalle, and Mason all within 1 points of each other, it is way too early to tell who will be the odd team out in the playoffs. If Wayne beats EITHER Northmont or Centerville, they will be in the playoffs, and two of the three teams (Moeller, LaSalle, and Mason) will be out.

WHO MOELLER, LASALLE, AND MASON SHOULD BE ROOTING FOR:
Winton Woods over Glen Este in week 8 (Knocking Glen Este out of playoff contention)
Lakota West over Lakota East in week 10 (Knocking East out)

POST WEEK 7 PROJECTIONS

FINAL PROJECTED STANDINGS
1	ST. XAVIER	(10-0)	44.4129
2	CENTERVILLE	(10-0)	36.0000
3	NORTHMONT	(9-1)	30.2500
4	COLERAIN	(9-1)	27.4212
5	GLEN ESTE	(9-1)	26.9000
6	LAKOTA EAST	(8-2)	26.3500
7	MOELLER	(6-4)	25.1682
8	LASALLE	(8-2)	25.0551
9	MASON	(8-2)	24.7500
10	FAIRFIELD	(8-2)	22.9000
12	WAYNE	(7-3)	21.4500

A COLERAIN HOME GAME???

For Colerain to get a home game, they have to finish the season 9-1, and get some help from either Glen Este, Northmont, Centerville, and Wayne, AND avoid a LaSalle upset of St. Xavier tonight. Colerain will have a home game if:

1. Glen Este loses to either Winton Woods or Mason & LaSalle loses to St. Xavier
2. Northmont loses to Wayne (and Wayne loses to Centerville) & LaSalle loses to St .Xavier
3. Northmont beats Wayne and Centerville, Wayne beats Centerville, and LaSalle loses to St. Xavier

Hopefully that makes sense.

PLAYOFF GAME AT FAIRFIELD THIS WEEK

Make no mistake about it, the Lakota West - Fairfield game is a playoff game this week. Lakota West and Fairfield are both 4-2 and on the bubble for a playoff birth. The winner of the game will be fighting for the last playoffs spot for the rest of the year, and the loser will find themselves out of contention.

5 MOST IMPORTANT GAMES FOR WEEK 7

1. LaSalle @ St. Xavier: A St. Xavier win will almost guarantee St. Xavier a first-round playoff game, and a LaSalle win will solidify a playoff birth for LaSalle, and will likely put LaSalle in position for a home playoff game. Oh yeah, the GCL title is at stake in this game, too.

2. Mason @ Glen Este: Mason must win to keep their playoff hopes alive, and Glen Este must win to get a home playoff game. If Glen Este splits with Mason and Winton Woods, they will be on the road in week 11; if they beat both Mason and Winton Woods, they'll have a first round playoff game; if they lose both games, they are out of the playoffs.

3. Moeller @ Elder: Moeller must finish the season 6-4 to have a good shot at making the playoffs. At 4-2 with games left against Lakewood St. Edward and St. Xavier, Moeller would do well to win this game, and have some margin for error in the last three weeks.

4. Lakota East @ Middletown: A Lakota East loss will put them squarely on the playoff bubble. Wins on the road in the GMC do not come easily (outside of Colerain) and Lakota East needs to win out to guarantee a playoff birth.

5. Lebanon @ Springboro: Lebanon must win out to make the playoffs. At 6-0, Springboro is the class of Region 8, and they put a hurting on Lebanon at Lebanon last year. If Lebanon wins this game, their playoff chances are good, if they lose, they have 0% chance of making the playoffs.

LEBANON & MASON

Lebanon has to beat Springboro (6-0) and Mason has to beat Glen Este (6-0) to keep their playoff chances alive. If they lose this week, they are out of any playoff contention.

THANK YOU

I would like to take this opportunity to thank everyone who has visited the site. Hopefully you have found it informative.