MOELLER (7-2)

While Moeller (6-2) has likely already clinched a spot in the Region 4 playoffs, they can earn a first round home game with a win over St. Xavier (9-0) in week 10. With a win over St. Xavier, Moeller is projected to finish with 31.0479 Harbin points, which would likely place them 3rd in Region 4. This would likely put them above Sycamore (29.8500), cost Centerville (26.9000) and Harrison (26.5000) their shot at a first round home playoff game, and put Moeller just behind Colerain (32.7395) for the #2 seed.

For Moeller to overtake Colerain for the #2 seed, the following scenarios would have to occur. These projections include HH Wayne, Hoover, Clarke Road, Brother Rice and LaSalle victories, with Mason, Middletown, Findlay, and St. Edward losses... unless otherwise noted (Cathedral has already completed 10 games).

• Three (3) losses from HH Wayne, Hoover and Clarke Road
  
• Two (2) losses from HH Wayne, Hoover and Clarke Road AND a Findlay or St. Edward win
  
• One (1) loss from HH Wayne, Hoover or Clarke Road AND wins from Findlay and St. Edward

For Moeller to fall below Sycamore to the #4 seed, the following scenarios would have to occur. These projections include Withrow, Springboro, Harrison, Brother Rice and LaSalle wins, with Fairfield, Oak Hills, Middletown, Mason, Findlay, and St. Edward losses... unless otherwise noted (Cathedral has already completed 10 games).

• Two (2) wins from Fairfield, Oak Hills, and Middletown
• One win from Fairfield, Oak Hills, or Middletown AND a LaSalle or Brother Rice loss
  

CONCLUSION:

Moeller will finish with the #2 seed with a win over St. Xavier, coupled with other results (Level 2 help) that will lift them over Colerain.

Moeller will finish with the #3 seed with a win over St. Xavier if they do not get enough Level 2 help to lift them over Colerain, but get enough Level 2 help to keep them ahead of Sycamore.

Moeller will finish with the #4 seed with a win over St. Xavier if they do not get enough Level 2 help to lift them over Colerain or keep them ahead of Sycamore.