ELDER - PART I

Elder is projected to finish 9th in Region 4 with 22.6582 Harbin points. In order to qualify for the playoffs, Elder likely needs Harrison (7-2), Princeton (7-2), Northmont (6-3) to lose, as Elder has only limited opportunities, with significant Level 2 help, to overtake Moeller (@ 6-3) or Northmont (@ 7-3). Barring an Oak Hills win over Colerain, Elder cannot overtake Princeton without a Princeton loss. Elder also cannot overtake Harrison without a Harrison loss.

Elder (7-3 - 22.6582) could finish with a higher seed than Moeller (6-3 - 24.4042) with the following scenarios. The base scenario includes Brother Rice, LaSalle, Lakota West, and Charlotte Independence wins, with Mason, Findlay, Lakewood St. Edward, Oak Hills, Moeller, Covington Catholic, and Cleveland Benedictine losses... unless otherwise noted below.
*Mason and Oak Hills victories are unlikely and will not be included in scenarios.

• Brother Rice and LaSalle losses AND either a Covington Catholic or Cleveland Benedictine win
• A Brother Rice or LaSalle loss AND both a Covington Catholic and Cleveland Benedictine win

Elder (7-3 - 22.6582) could finish with a higher seed than Northmont (7-3 - 24.5566) with the following scenario. The base scenario includes Chaminade-Julienne, Miamisburg, Troy, Oak Hills, Moeller, Covington Catholic, and Cleveland Benedictine losses, with Sidney, Lakota West, and Charlotte Independence wins... unless otherwise noted below.
Note: Butler plays Trotwood-Madison. Northmont has beaten both D-II teams.

• Sidney loss AND Moeller, Covington Catholic, and Cleveland Benedictine wins