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Wednesday, October 26, 2005

BATTLE FOR THE #4 SEED: LAKOTA EAST

Lakota East is in a rare situation. If they beat rival Lakota West, they will be in position to challenge for the #4 seed in Region 4. If they lose to Lakota West, they will be out of the playoffs.

WOW! I was just crunching the numbers, and I can see no realistic scenario in which Lakota East could overtake Glen Este for the #4 spot short of a Glen Este loss this week. There exists only one possible scenario.

SCENARIO: Dixie Heights over Mason, Withrow over McNicholas + either Oak Hills over Colerain or Hamilton over Fairfield


**There exists far more scenarios that would have Colerain leapfrog Lakota East in the rankings:

SCENARIO 1: Highlands over Covington Catholic & any of the following: Miamisburg over Lebanon, Winton Woods over Mason, OR Milford over Sycamore

SCENARIO 2: (Covington Catholic over Highlands) There must be 2 of the following for Colerain to jump over Lakota East: Miamisburg over Lebanon, Winton Woods over Mason, OR Milford over Sycamore

Bottom Line: Lakota East will be on the road or at home in round 1 of the playoffs. I'm still sticking to Lakota East holding off Colerain for the #5 spot, this race is almost too close to call.

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