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Wednesday, October 26, 2005

THE BATTLE FOR THE #4 SEED: GLEN ESTE

Glen Este appears to have the inside track for the #4 seed in the playoffs. Likely to finish 9-1 and with wins over Ryle, Lakota East, and Winton Woods to their credit, Glen Este belongs in the playoffs.

As a point of clarification, a team gets 0.60 Harbin points for each division 1 team that one of its opponents beats, 0.55 for D-2, 0.50 for D-3 and so on. For example: if Lakota East (who Glen Este beat earlier in the season) beats Lakota West this week, Glen Este will get 0.6 Harbin points added to their total since Lakota West is a division 1 team. (This assumes a 100 divisor, which most teams in Region 4 have)

If Glen Este wins this week, they will hold off Lakota East for the #4 spot (assuming a Moeller loss). Glen Este will have a more difficult time holding off Colerain, as the Cardinals have the possibilityof more level 2 points not included in my Base Scenario.

Bottom Line: Glen Este will be the #4 seed unless:
  1. Moeller beats St. Xavier (Moeller would be #3 or #4, Glen Este #5)
  2. A combination of two or more games involving Glen Este and Colerain go against Glen Este or for Colerain

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