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Sunday, October 22, 2006

Harbin Projections After Week 9

FINAL PROJECTED STANDINGS
1 ST. XAVIER 8-1 39.4575
2 COLERAIN 10-0 35.3367
3 SYCAMORE 9-1 32.1000
4 NORTHMONT 8-2 30.7621
5 GLEN ESTE 8-2 28.0000
6 HH WAYNE 7-2 24.1055
7 MOELLER 5-4 23.2184
8 LAKOTA WEST 8-2 22.7092
9 CENTERVILLE 8-2 22.0658
10 ANDERSON 7-3 20.9500
11 ELDER 6-4 19.4958

11 Comments:

Blogger Ohiostripes said...

What are the outcomes of games that get Lakota West in over Centerville? I'm hearing that Winton Woods must beat Glen Este for this to happen. Is this information true or false?

3:49 PM  
Blogger Joe Kennedy said...

This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

6:31 PM  
Blogger Joe Kennedy said...

If Middletown beats Princeton and Hamilton beats Fairfield, you will only need 1 win from the following teams:
1. Moeller vs. St. Xavier
2. Winton Woods vs. Glen Este
3. Milford vs. Sycamore
4. Springfield South vs. Springfield North

If Middletown loses to Princeton and Hamilton loses to Fairfield, you are eliminated:

7:08 PM  
Blogger Joe Kennedy said...

If Middletown beats Princeton, you will only need 1 win from the following teams:
1. Moeller vs. St. Xavier
2. Winton Woods vs. Glen Este
3. Milford vs. Sycamore
4. Hamilton vs. Fairfield
5. Springfield South vs. Springfield North

If Middletown loses to Princeton , you will need 3 wins from the following teams:
1. Moeller vs. St. Xavier
2. Winton Woods vs. Glen Este
3. Milford vs. Sycamore
4. Hamilton vs. Fairfield
5. Springfield South vs. Springfield North

If Middletown loses to Princeton and Hamilton loses to Fairfield, you are eliminated:

7:13 PM  
Blogger Ohiostripes said...

How does a Springfield South win help Lakota West? Centerville beat both North and South. Does it have to do with other teams L2 points?

Thanks for all of these answers.

8:01 AM  
Blogger 65ElderFan said...

Joe.........is Glen Este out if they lose to Winton Woods?

11:46 AM  
Blogger ELKSONE said...

What does Centerville need in order to sneak into the playoffs?

8:41 PM  
Blogger Joe Kennedy said...

ohiostripes,

A Springfield North win over Springfield South hurts Centerville, and therefore helps Lakota West. Centerville will get 5.5 L2 points from a Springfield North win, and 6 L2 points from a Springfield South win. They will get 5.5 because Springfield North will be beating a D-II North team, instead of getting 6 points from Springfield North beating South (D-I).

I know it seems very trivial, but trust me, it has made the difference between 8th and 9th in many scenarios between Lakota West and Centerville.

10:09 PM  
Blogger Joe Kennedy said...

65elderfan,

Glen Este should be in even with a loss this week. If they do lose, they will be around 24.1000 points, which will almost assuredly be enough. I have Lakota West and Centerville at 22.7092 and 22.0658 respectively, so Glen Este is in good shape.

If fact, if they lose, they still could very well end up with the #5 spot at around 24 points. This is the same place I have them with a win and 28 points.

Here's the scenarios for Glen Este:
1. Glen Este win + Northmont loss = 1st Round Glen Este Home Game
2. Glen Este win + Northmont win = 1st Round Glen Este Road Game
3. Glen Este loss = 1st Round Glen Este Road Game

10:14 PM  
Blogger Joe Kennedy said...

elksone,

The following circumstances will get Centerville in the playoffs over Lakota West (All assuming a Centerville win this week):

1. A Lakota West loss to Lakota East

2. A Princeton win over Middletown AND a Springfield South win over Springfield North, plus 1 of the following:
a. Fairfield win over Hamilton
b. St. Xavier over Moeller
c. Milford over Sycamore
d. Winton Woods over Glen Este
e. Wayne over Troy

3. A Princeton win over Middletown AND a Springfield North win over Springfield South, plus 2 of the following:
a. Fairfield win over Hamilton
b. St. Xavier over Moeller
c. Milford over Sycamore
d. Winton Woods over Glen Este
e. Wayne over Troy

4. A Middletown win over Princeton AND a Springfield South win over Springfield North, plus 3 of the following:
a. Fairfield win over Hamilton
b. St. Xavier over Moeller
c. Milford over Sycamore
d. Winton Woods over Glen Este
e. Wayne over Troy

5. A Middletown win over Princeton AND a Springfield North win over Springfield South, plus 4 of the following:
a. Fairfield win over Hamilton
b. St. Xavier over Moeller
c. Milford over Sycamore
d. Winton Woods over Glen Este
e. Wayne over Troy

10:33 PM  
Blogger Joe Kennedy said...

elksone,

The following circumstances will get Centerville in the playoffs over Lakota West (All assuming a Centerville win this week) I may put in scenarios where Centerville could get in over Moeller in the next few days:

1. A Lakota West loss to Lakota East

2. A Princeton win over Middletown AND a Springfield South win over Springfield North, plus 1 of the following:
a. Fairfield win over Hamilton
b. St. Xavier over Moeller
c. Milford over Sycamore
d. Winton Woods over Glen Este
e. Wayne over Troy

3. A Princeton win over Middletown AND a Springfield North win over Springfield South, plus 2 of the following:
a. Fairfield win over Hamilton
b. St. Xavier over Moeller
c. Milford over Sycamore
d. Winton Woods over Glen Este
e. Wayne over Troy

4. A Middletown win over Princeton AND a Springfield South win over Springfield North, plus 3 of the following:
a. Fairfield win over Hamilton
b. St. Xavier over Moeller
c. Milford over Sycamore
d. Winton Woods over Glen Este
e. Wayne over Troy

5. A Middletown win over Princeton AND a Springfield North win over Springfield South, plus 4 of the following:
a. Fairfield win over Hamilton
b. St. Xavier over Moeller
c. Milford over Sycamore
d. Winton Woods over Glen Este
e. Wayne over Troy

10:37 PM  

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