Week 1 Harbin Analysis
Week 1 of the 2005 high school football season provided some local teams with much needed Harbin points down the road, while leaving other teams wondering if they have put themselves behind the preverbial 8-ball this early in the season.
While it is far too early to speculate on specific playoff implications of this weekend's games, we do have an idea of some of the teams that will likely be in the playoff hunt later in the season. Each year there are roughly 15 teams in Region 4 with legitimate chances to make the playoffs. I will detail the top 5 teams each week that had the most important Harbin wins of the week and list the teams that helped themselves and hurt themselves that week.
1. Elder: Their 21-14 victory over Huber Heights Wayne Saturday night was arguably the biggest win in Region 4 this week. Wayne is the #1 team in Dayton this year, and likely to finish the season 9-1 or 8-2, depending on their match-up with Centerville later in the season. Elder has earned 6.0 L1 points and will likely earn either 47 or 53 L2 points with this victory.
1. St. Xavier: With their 7-0 shut-out of Colerain on Saturday, St. Xavier surprised many people and likely grabbed the #1 spot in Cincinnati polls, but more importantly, they will gain a boatload of Harbin points from Colerain. Colerain will likely go 8-2 or 9-1, depending on their game against Tyler Lee, Texas in Columbus in 2 weeks. Consequently, St. Xavier will likely earn either 47 or 53 L2 points from this victory.
3. Moeller: By defeating Withrow this Saturday, Moeller will pick up many Harbin points down the road. Withrow should be the favorite in the rest of their games, with a key game against McNick to end the year. Moeller has earned 6.0 L1 points and will likely earn either 47 or 53 L2 points with this victory depending on the result of the Withrow-McNick game in week 10. Moeller will pick up between 4.5 and 5.0 Harbin points from Withrow.
4. Oak Hills: Their 25-22 victory over Anderson was a huge Harbin victory for Oak Hills. Anderson will likely win at least 6 games this year, giving Oak Hills 6.0 L1 points and around 34 L2 points. Oak Hills plays Princeton, Lakota West, Lakota East, Elder, and Colerain this year. If Oak Hills wins 2 of those 5 games, as well as the rest of their games, they will likely be a major contender for one of the final few playoff spots.
5. Lakota East: Their 31-9 win over Lebanon has given them 6 L1 points will likely provide them with over 33 L2 points when all is said and done this season, assuming Lebanon goes 6-4 or better. If Lakota East beats Glen Este next week, they will definitely be in the playoffs at 9-1, and have a legitimate shot at getting in at 8-2. This shows the importance of playing (and defeating) good teams in the nonconference schedule, which is the only reason Lakota East missed the playoffs last year at 9-1.
While it is far too early to speculate on specific playoff implications of this weekend's games, we do have an idea of some of the teams that will likely be in the playoff hunt later in the season. Each year there are roughly 15 teams in Region 4 with legitimate chances to make the playoffs. I will detail the top 5 teams each week that had the most important Harbin wins of the week and list the teams that helped themselves and hurt themselves that week.
1. Elder: Their 21-14 victory over Huber Heights Wayne Saturday night was arguably the biggest win in Region 4 this week. Wayne is the #1 team in Dayton this year, and likely to finish the season 9-1 or 8-2, depending on their match-up with Centerville later in the season. Elder has earned 6.0 L1 points and will likely earn either 47 or 53 L2 points with this victory.
1. St. Xavier: With their 7-0 shut-out of Colerain on Saturday, St. Xavier surprised many people and likely grabbed the #1 spot in Cincinnati polls, but more importantly, they will gain a boatload of Harbin points from Colerain. Colerain will likely go 8-2 or 9-1, depending on their game against Tyler Lee, Texas in Columbus in 2 weeks. Consequently, St. Xavier will likely earn either 47 or 53 L2 points from this victory.
3. Moeller: By defeating Withrow this Saturday, Moeller will pick up many Harbin points down the road. Withrow should be the favorite in the rest of their games, with a key game against McNick to end the year. Moeller has earned 6.0 L1 points and will likely earn either 47 or 53 L2 points with this victory depending on the result of the Withrow-McNick game in week 10. Moeller will pick up between 4.5 and 5.0 Harbin points from Withrow.
4. Oak Hills: Their 25-22 victory over Anderson was a huge Harbin victory for Oak Hills. Anderson will likely win at least 6 games this year, giving Oak Hills 6.0 L1 points and around 34 L2 points. Oak Hills plays Princeton, Lakota West, Lakota East, Elder, and Colerain this year. If Oak Hills wins 2 of those 5 games, as well as the rest of their games, they will likely be a major contender for one of the final few playoff spots.
5. Lakota East: Their 31-9 win over Lebanon has given them 6 L1 points will likely provide them with over 33 L2 points when all is said and done this season, assuming Lebanon goes 6-4 or better. If Lakota East beats Glen Este next week, they will definitely be in the playoffs at 9-1, and have a legitimate shot at getting in at 8-2. This shows the importance of playing (and defeating) good teams in the nonconference schedule, which is the only reason Lakota East missed the playoffs last year at 9-1.
posted by Joe Kennedy at 3:46 PM
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